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January 26, 2010

2012 doomsday - why it gained so much attention? - 5

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The scientists and the known

We have many who know the facts. When I say facts it is facts and figures corresponding to all the events that are put forth by doomsayers to support their theories.

Now when a supporter states, ‘geomagnetic reversal is going to prove fatal for the human species in 2012’ the known scientists or others start providing information related to this geomagnetic reversal. Ok, it happened so many years ago, we don’t have a specific time to foretell when it is going to happen, even if it happens there is no evidence to say it is going to cause adverse effect on human beings.

Problem with such statements is, again common man misses the conclusion. The question he asks is, ‘you are saying you don’t know when it will happen next? Means science can’t really assert doomsday is not going to happen. There are people who are very affirmative in their statements when they say doomsday is near and it is going to happen on that exact day. They seem to know more than you. They even have evidences to what they are saying. What do you have? You just keep saying you don’t know. I want you to prove that doomsday is not going to happen in 2012 and so to prove doomsayers wrong. Do that and then I can believe in what you want me to believe!!’

The scientists are doing their job by providing what is the truth. But that is not enough. They need to put these things together and assert that doomsday predictions and theories are all baseless, pure speculations, and tampered themselves to mix up with each other. And they need to assert that no one can predict future and tell why no one can predict future. Only prediction about future can come from a scientific analysis which can logically, objectively show why it is predicting what it is predicting.

In scientific field people make accurate statements. So they hesitate to say geomagnetic reversal is not going to happen in 2012. Because the fact is they don’t know when it is going to occur. But what responsibility they should take up is, to go forward to people and convince them that, ‘geomagnetic reversal can happen anytime which no one can predict. No person can predict that it is going to happen on 21st Dec 2012. So the news that it is going to happen on that day is a big hoax. And it is not going to cause any casualties let aside the catastrophe.’ Then people will understand. This is one task that people in scientific field need to take up.

Fear mongers actually try to make use of this uncertainty of science in predicting future to make their point. But we need to note that while science cannot predict it no one else can. It is only the stories that can really have true foretellers. If you think clearly you find that all the foretellers are not better than any other good magician. They are good magicians who make their living in the name of having super natural power. Or they utter something which looks like a code and when you decipher it you see that it really happened!! There is nothing but a psychological aspect here. They say exactly something which could be deciphered to get more than one meaning so that you will get the meaning you are looking for. Anyway, if you are not satisfied on this point I will be getting back with different article soon. But the truth is there are no real foretellers in this world. Only science can foretell anything in this universe that is possible. So tell fear mongers that when science could not foretell how can you? What basis you have to prove your point? Why should I believe you?

 And many come up with question, ‘can you disprove what that doomsayer is saying?’ Now, I will certainly disprove it if only you can prove me wrong when I say ‘a person can continue to live even if we remove his heart and brain from his body’. Do it. Prove me wrong and I will prove the doomsayer wrong!! The point here is simple. The question disproving doesn’t arise at all if we don’t have proof for it. The very truth that there is no proof to it is itself proof that it is not valid.

And still some other come up saying, ‘Haiti earthquake happened recently, Tsunami happened in India and Srilanka regions, Katrina hurricane killed thousands. When we have seen such natural catastrophes happening and are not able to stop them how do you say doomsday won’t happen in 2012?’ I wonder where our foretellers were when these natural disasters hit us. But we have lot and lots of such foretellers claiming they had known it would happen and predicted it well before!! Anyway coming back to this particular question, the point is no one is saying catastrophes will never occur. But the question we are dealing with is predicting such catastrophe well before without any basis is incorrect, immoral, and unethical. Tsunami might again hit us in 2011, why 2012? Yes, we can see few natural disasters as we saw until now but how do you predict it?

In fact if our system works as expected, and we have sophisticated precautionary steps well planned we can actually see to it that these natural disasters harm no lives, at least not significantly. If you ask me, the question of earthquake killing hundreds of thousands of people[officially as of 24th Jan 150000 people are buried in the capital alone] is not important than the question of living condition people in Haiti before earthquake. Check these facts:

-- As per GDP per capita, every person gets only $2 per day. That comes under extreme poverty section. -- Of about 8.2 million population 1% [which is ~80,000] of them are rich and hold half of the country’s wealth.
-- So considering GDP and this fact about 8.1 million people are hardly getting $1 per day. Such is the extreme state of country’s economy.
-- At least 225000 children are under slavery.
-- Debt per capita is $169.
-- Over 90% children suffer from waterborne diseases and intestinal parasites.





Now, would it be better for Haiti if no earthquake would have happened? No. The reality is something else. If the economic condition of Haiti would have been better and assuming the system was efficient then the chances were that they would be able to identify forthcoming earthquake bit earlier, they would be prepared well to save their people and to provide them with better relocation facilities, and even the infrastructure itself would have been better to withstand the earthquake. That would have saved hundreds of thousands of people from dying.

I think this is real problem we should be discussing about; we should be looking into and not baseless predictions about 2012 doomsday.


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